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JamAnime12
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Post subject: Re: Mythical Items from Normal Boxes  Posted: Thu Nov 03, 2016 4:51 pm |
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Joined: Wed May 06, 2015 10:45 pm
Posts: 210
Gender: male
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BluesMechs wrote: JamAnime12 wrote: WarrMachine wrote: This morning I had some data thrust on me. I took it upon myself to process this, and came to some interesting conclusions. Essentially I wanted to figure out what the "<1%" chance of mythical items actually meant. The data I received is directly from Madao San, so draw your own conclusions from that. The following is the data along with my calculations and final conclusion. The data. The calculations. Conclusions + useful information. After coming up with a final answer, wow. They weren't kidding when they said less than 1%. Keep in mind this is still a pretty small sample size, and final answers can be recalculated with more data to provide an answer closer to the actual answer. Still, it's pretty cool  Every card you spawn via item boxes has approximately .0011919% chance of being mythical. On average it'll take about 2.4 Million SM coins (buying only mixed boxes) to spawn 1 mythical card. So the real question is, devs, is this accurate?  I would have to agree with "WarrMachine" on all the DATA he put in. The reason is your taking a risk with that symbol of " > " = Less Than. That is big argument there. Alexander replied it's supposed to be .9%, I don't think so. It's not a set factor. It can be any percentage Less Than 1%. So that's a risk there. There my bad. Was not paying attention. fixed
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WarrMachine
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Post subject: Re: Mythical Items from Normal Boxes Posted: Thu Nov 03, 2016 6:14 pm |
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Joined: Sun Apr 27, 2014 4:15 pm
Posts: 923
Gender: male
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Technically "<1%" could be 0%. Just sayin 
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YoloNinjaSwag
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Post subject: Re: Mythical Items from Normal Boxes Posted: Fri Nov 04, 2016 3:09 am |
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Joined: Sun Jul 17, 2016 4:16 am
Posts: 243
Location: Australia
Gender: male
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Yeah its also very risky and <1% may become 00.1%
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Total XP: 200,000+
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In-Game Name: --Dead-Ninja--
"Do it now, sometimes 'later' becomes 'never'."
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haitrieuvo
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Post subject: Re: Mythical Items from Normal Boxes Posted: Fri Nov 04, 2016 9:04 am |
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Joined: Mon Feb 23, 2015 9:27 pm
Posts: 2
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okok i dont want to be an ass or anything but on my alt on kong i turned my 60 tokens into 120k sm and like from the 4th mix box i got 1 mythical that had godmode and THE NEXT mix box I ALSO got another mythical with sparks....  so i dont know the actuall % but i dont think it is that low(my alts name:chunxianhot so yeah
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ticklemericky
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Post subject: Re: Mythical Items from Normal Boxes Posted: Fri Nov 04, 2016 10:26 am |
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Joined: Thu Feb 06, 2014 1:36 am
Posts: 417
Gender: female
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I'll spend 12 million sm to get power anyway. This just means I can get myths now. =)
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Goals:
Get 1 Gold Medal 2/1
Get 2 Silver Medals
Get 3 Bronze Medals 2/3
Reach 20 Million Total EXP
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socialmisfit1
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Post subject: Re: Mythical Items from Normal Boxes Posted: Fri Nov 04, 2016 12:46 pm |
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Joined: Sun Nov 20, 2011 1:14 pm
Posts: 2610
Location: in my happy place
Gender: female
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ticklemericky wrote: I'll spend 12 million sm to get power anyway. This just means I can get myths now. =) it also means you spend more for the same amount of junk items for fusing.
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JamAnime12
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Post subject: Re: Mythical Items from Normal Boxes Posted: Fri Nov 04, 2016 10:29 pm |
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Joined: Wed May 06, 2015 10:45 pm
Posts: 210
Gender: male
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haitrieuvo wrote: okok i dont want to be an ass or anything but on my alt on kong i turned my 60 tokens into 120k sm and like from the 4th mix box i got 1 mythical that had godmode and THE NEXT mix box I ALSO got another mythical with sparks.... so i dont know the actuall % but i dont think it is that low(my alts name:chunxianhot so yeah Was that your worse account? That's probably why. 
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Alexander
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Post subject: Re: Mythical Items from Normal Boxes Posted: Sat Nov 05, 2016 8:20 pm |
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Joined: Wed Jun 03, 2009 6:41 am
Posts: 4629
Location: The Netherlands
Gender: male
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To clear up confusion: - The percentage is not as low as Madao seems to have calculated, the minimum is higher than that. - The chance is not different between two players, everyone has the same chance. - It's indeed beneath 1%, it's however meant to be a percentage for everyone to enjoy. Statistically everyone should run into one. I think Ricky's attitude here is the right one (thanks ricky), its a neat bonus on top of boxes most were buying already anyway. I mean, come on guys, we thought this would be a fun event for everyone. Just enjoy the extra shot, or don't and play the game as it is normally
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Alexander
Product Manager
Battle Dawn
Skype: dreamerofdestruction
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ticklemericky
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Post subject: Re: Mythical Items from Normal Boxes Posted: Sat Nov 05, 2016 9:09 pm |
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Joined: Thu Feb 06, 2014 1:36 am
Posts: 417
Gender: female
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Alexander wrote: To clear up confusion: - The percentage is not as low as Madao seems to have calculated, the minimum is higher than that. - The chance is not different between two players, everyone has the same chance. - It's indeed beneath 1%, it's however meant to be a percentage for everyone to enjoy. Statistically everyone should run into one. I think Ricky's attitude here is the right one (thanks ricky), its a neat bonus on top of boxes most were buying already anyway. I mean, come on guys, we thought this would be a fun event for everyone. Just enjoy the extra shot, or don't and play the game as it is normally Yes I think any % chance to get mythicals is a welcome one. Frankly any higher than 1% is asking a bit too much. From someone who puts in hours into the game that is. This from someone who's spent about 300Mil+ SM on boxes pre-mythical entry btw. This would've been great to have earlier!. P.S. I'm not Ricky. =p I'll pm you about that in a moment.
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Goals:
Get 1 Gold Medal 2/1
Get 2 Silver Medals
Get 3 Bronze Medals 2/3
Reach 20 Million Total EXP
Last edited by ticklemericky on Sun Nov 06, 2016 3:28 am, edited 1 time in total.
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